Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 3.310344 3.933135 4.607600 5.388382 6.263347 7.209697 8.306626
2025-12-21 2.282271 3.067394 3.992477 5.146895 6.532391 8.125430 10.078500
2025-12-28 1.809296 2.720754 3.877744 5.415521 7.365497 9.715772 12.720020
2026-01-04 1.501378 2.507495 3.873982 5.792420 8.339613 11.529107 15.742363
2026-01-11 1.248134 2.308905 3.844941 6.111631 9.245662 13.300442 18.806395
2026-01-18 0.983886 2.031412 3.653218 6.169359 9.788308 14.618239 21.347273
2026-01-25 0.733021 1.711153 3.339288 6.000254 9.982802 15.463010 23.289550
2026-02-01 0.549999 1.457150 3.080129 5.868095 10.197538 16.322490 25.264949
2026-02-08 0.411990 1.246106 2.851213 5.744938 10.397616 17.150305 27.208712
2026-02-15 0.313770 1.085170 2.678885 5.685264 10.674984 18.084506 29.318074
2026-02-22 0.269001 1.032955 2.698232 5.945326 11.458164 19.777293 32.545770
2026-03-01 0.211168 0.926183 2.590939 5.967620 11.854274 20.903605 34.988552
2026-03-08 0.142052 0.756603 2.325149 5.679463 11.732978 21.262846 36.361344
2026-03-15 0.094732 0.623712 2.107832 5.451184 11.687929 21.727894 37.898106
2026-03-22 0.081391 0.605772 2.155710 5.745437 12.558228 23.652013 41.669480
2026-03-29 0.073854 0.607955 2.253488 6.147764 13.637165 25.939804 46.047567
2026-04-05 0.064782 0.598194 2.318663 6.486603 14.616863 28.096849 50.276933
2026-04-12 0.049183 0.544486 2.256676 6.550078 15.099505 29.465180 53.329949
2026-04-19 0.032066 0.461748 2.093657 6.375069 15.129463 30.091063 55.246853
2026-04-26 0.020549 0.394535 1.956376 6.237859 15.215259 30.803363 57.306745
2026-05-03 0.012666 0.336928 1.830912 6.109578 15.303714 31.513765 59.369646
2026-05-10 0.007831 0.293494 1.738694 6.047465 15.512862 32.429241 61.773166
2026-05-17 0.006390 0.288069 1.781011 6.319873 16.396562 34.521775 66.102192